Wednesday, November 07, 2012

The Future: More Confusion

Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness

Truth:  Capital flows in the direction of the highest RETURN with the least amount of RISK

Citizens have re-elected the most divisive socialist I could have ever imagined but that is what they want (at least half of the voters).  For investors, such as myself, we have to consider the anti-business environment that this President brings to the table along with a complete agenda to transform America.

2012 Obama Re-Election Consequences for Investors to consider:

  • inflation (all business segments and asset categories) (consumer prices)
  • Cap-and-Trade will reemerge as an issue 
  • 2013 higher taxes (Obamacare) (estates) (capital gains) (personal)
  • appointment of more liberal justices looking to punish business concerns even more and re-interpreting the constitution 
  • divisiveness (House vs. Senate and President) (Republicans vs. Democrats) (Budgets)
  • redistribution of wealth issues will intensify (entitlement programs will expand)
  • private property issues will intensify (guns, etc) 
  • debt and deficits increase by unholy amounts (Democrats trying to spend their way to prosperity)
  • terrorism intensifies (lower military spending)
  • zero interest rates for investors (bonds, CD) for years to come (FEDERAL RESERVE)
  • rising health care insurance rates (Obamacare) (DHHS)
  • private hospitals will be put under extreme pressure (DHHS) to reduce costs
  • fossil fuels will be demonized and prices increase (oil & gas, coal) (EPA)
  • labor unrest will intensify as business profits are put under increasing downward pressure (NLRB)
  • multinational corporations will move more off-shore to avoid regulatory problems
  • avoiding higher taxes and regulations will become business and investor highest priority
  • Multinational Corporations will not repatriate their foreign profits back to America (IRS)

Research to understand to evaluate the following issues:
  • investments that can stay up with inflation (multinational corporations?) (FEDERAL RESERVE)
  • industries that will not be demonized and/or harmed (EXECUTIVE ORDERS) (EPA)
  • avoid higher taxes where possible (Cayman Islands?) (IRS)
  • industries where regulatory pressure will be applied (NLRB, DHHS, EPA, Dodd-Frank)
  • currency devaluation (FEDERAL RESERVE)
  • Foreign investments
  • Real Estate
  • Industries that Democrats like 

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